{"version":1,"checked_at":"2026-09-17T02:49:48.001Z","source":"codex-reset.com","source_url":"https://codex-reset.com/api/forecast","fallback":false,"stale":false,"verdict":{"code":"quiet","label":"NO LIVE RESET SIGNAL","answer":"Probably not yet.","summary":"No direct future-reset signal is active and the near-term forecast remains low.","action":"Use your personal reset time rather than waiting for a global goodwill reset.","tone":"quiet"},"probabilities":{"h24":24,"h48":42},"confidence":{"level":"low","note":"Experimental: walk-forward backtest has not beaten both baselines yet."},"last_reset":{"id":"2098685367058612394","at":"2026-09-12T08:09:17.000Z","url":"https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2098685367058612394","summary":"Reset all propagated. Sweet dreams. https://t.co/VgKVUixoJG","hours_ago":114,"days_ago":4,"source_label":"Live radar feed"},"active_signal":null,"service":{"code":"operational","label":"Codex surfaces operational","degraded":false,"checkedAt":"2026-09-17T02:45:58.000Z","incident":null,"surfaces":[{"id":"web","label":"Codex Web","status":"operational"},{"id":"api","label":"Codex API","status":"operational"},{"id":"cli","label":"Codex CLI","status":"operational"},{"id":"vscode","label":"VS Code extension","status":"operational"},{"id":"desktop","label":"Codex in ChatGPT Desktop","status":"operational"}]},"evidence":[{"code":"recent_cadence","label":"Recent cadence","detail":"a reset every ~4.2d across the last 5 (weighted mean 5.4d)","href":"/timeline","kind":"forecast"},{"code":"last_reset","label":"Last reset","detail":"2026-09-12 (4.8d ago)","href":"https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2098685367058612394","kind":"forecast"},{"code":"common_window","label":"Most common window","detail":"4 PM - 7 PM in America/Los_Angeles","href":"/timeline","kind":"forecast"},{"code":"latest-confirmed","label":"Latest verified reset","detail":"Reset all propagated. Sweet dreams. https://t.co/VgKVUixoJG","href":"https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2098685367058612394","kind":"confirmed"}],"rhythm":{"common_window":{"label":"4 PM - 7 PM","timezone":"America/Los_Angeles","startHour":16,"endHour":19},"cadence":{"recentMedianDays":4.2,"recentSample":5,"weightedMeanDays":5.4,"accelerating":false}},"model":{"mode":"model","details":{"version":"rate-v3","effectiveSampleSize":27.4,"baseDailyRate":0.24},"backtest":{"sampleSize":312,"brier":0.107,"baselineBrier":0.108,"betterThanNaive":true,"status":"experimental"}},"freshness":{"upstream_updated_at":"2026-09-17T02:49:07.491Z","age_seconds":40,"stale_after_seconds":2700,"status_stale":false},"caution":"A global goodwill reset is separate from your personal 5-hour or weekly reset. Your Codex /status or usage page is the source of truth for your account.","transport":{"forecast":"live","timeline":"cache-fresh","status":"live","fetched_at":{"forecast":"2026-09-17T02:49:48.001Z","timeline":"2026-09-17T02:45:02.103Z","status":"2026-09-17T02:49:48.001Z"},"errors":[]},"release":"2026.08.07-p5.8"}